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The dull end of the power chain is holding up
Power & Grid Market Sentiment
Weak market
What is the Power & Grid theme?
- 01
The surprise
This week the typical utility rose while every other part of the power chain fell.
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New nuclear fell hardest, its typical stock down 17.5%, even as reactor projects moved forward in Poland and Slovakia.
- US utilities (stage: Utilities), 9 stocks: NEE, SO, DUK, AEP, D, EXC, XEL, SRE, PCG. Combined market cap $670.8bn, 26.1% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days +3.4%, 1 month +3.0%, 3 months -5.1%, 6 months -4.4%, this year so far +5.7%. 5 of 9 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 56%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 16.8x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 20.9x. Typical revenue growth: +1.1%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +24.0%. Typical operating margin: 27.5%. Typical net margin: 15.3%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 12.9%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +12.6%. How this business works: Owns the power plants and lines that serve a region, and earns a return its state regulator sets. Earnings grow with the money it is allowed to invest, so rate decisions and data-centre demand drive growth, and high borrowing makes the shares sensitive to interest rates.
- UK and Europe utilities (stage: Utilities), 7 stocks: NG.L, SSE.L, IBE.MC, ENEL.MI, EOAN.DE, RWE.DE, ENGI.PA. Combined market cap $559.7bn, 21.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days +3.6%, 1 month +3.2%, 3 months -3.1%, 6 months -2.1%, this year so far +14.1%. 6 of 7 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 86%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 12.4x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 18.4x. Typical revenue growth: -0.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +27.8%. Typical operating margin: 18.2%. Typical net margin: 11.9%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 10.9%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +11.4%. How this business works: Runs power networks and generation across the UK and Europe, under regulators that set what the networks may earn. Most are spending heavily on grids and renewables, paid for with borrowing, so interest rates and regulators' decisions matter most.
- Uranium (stage: Fuel), 5 stocks: CCJ, NXE, UEC, KAP.IL, LEU. Combined market cap $47.3bn, 1.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -7.4%, 1 month -10.8%, 3 months -4.9%, 6 months -34.0%, this year so far -10.9%. 0 of 5 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 0%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 30.6x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 53.7x. Typical revenue growth: -7.2%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: -51.6%. Typical operating margin: 1.6%. Typical net margin: 10.2%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 40.0%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +102.6%. How this business works: Mines uranium and turns it into reactor fuel. Utilities sign supply contracts years ahead, so the price agreed on those long contracts matters more than the day-to-day price, and new mines take a decade to open, which keeps supply slow to respond.
- Independent power (stage: Generation), 4 stocks: CEG, VST, TLN, NRG. Combined market cap $186.0bn, 7.2% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -6.1%, 1 month +6.5%, 3 months -3.4%, 6 months -7.4%, this year so far -14.1%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 13.1x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 26.4x. Typical revenue growth: +14.8%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: -46.8%. Typical operating margin: 10.4%. Typical net margin: 6.8%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 29.6%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +33.6%. How this business works: Owns power plants and sells their electricity at market prices or on long contracts, rather than earning a regulated return. Profits rise and fall with power prices, and the nuclear fleets among them are what data centres now sign long deals for.
- New nuclear (stage: Generation), 4 stocks: OKLO, SMR, NNE, BWXT. Combined market cap $20.8bn, 0.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -17.5%, 1 month -19.6%, 3 months -22.2%, 6 months -52.0%, this year so far -52.6%. 0 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 0%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 26.2x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 35.5x. Typical revenue growth: -40.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +14.1%. Typical operating margin: -6451.4%. Typical net margin: 0.0%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 78.8%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +135.7%. How this business works: Designs smaller reactors that have yet to produce power for customers. Most have little or no revenue, so their shares move on licence decisions, funding and signed customers, and can swing hard either way.
- Renewables (stage: Generation), 3 stocks: FSLR, VWS.CO, ORSTED.CO. Combined market cap $71.9bn, 2.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -2.9%, 1 month -7.9%, 3 months -14.1%, 6 months -9.3%, this year so far +5.1%. 1 of 3 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 33%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 13.6x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 16.9x. Typical revenue growth: +20.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +23.3%. Typical operating margin: 13.4%. Typical net margin: 5.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 25.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +32.3%. How this business works: Makes solar panels and wind turbines, or builds and runs wind and solar farms. Results depend on government support, interest rates and what materials cost, and offshore wind projects have been hit by delays and cancelled contracts.
- Turbines (stage: Equipment), 2 stocks: GEV, ENR.DE. Combined market cap $374.5bn, 14.6% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -7.7%, 1 month -1.0%, 3 months -10.8%, 6 months -14.8%, this year so far +26.9%. 1 of 2 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 50%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 29.0x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 35.0x. Typical revenue growth: +19.7%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +56.4%. Typical operating margin: 8.7%. Typical net margin: 14.7%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 26.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +38.2%. How this business works: Builds the gas turbines and grid equipment new power plants are built around. Orders are booked years ahead and factories are close to full, so the order book and its pricing show what is coming.
- Electrical equipment (stage: Equipment), 4 stocks: ETN, HUBB, SU.PA, ABBN.SW. Combined market cap $503.0bn, 19.6% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -4.9%, 1 month -2.5%, 3 months -4.0%, 6 months -5.4%, this year so far +16.7%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 22.3x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 32.6x. Typical revenue growth: +14.8%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +3.6%. Typical operating margin: 17.6%. Typical net margin: 13.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 18.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +23.0%. How this business works: Makes the transformers, switchgear and wiring that move power from the grid into buildings and factories. Demand comes from data centres, factories and grid upgrades at once, and delivery times are long.
- Grid builders (stage: Grid), 4 stocks: PWR, MYRG, PRY.MI, NKT.CO. Combined market cap $136.2bn, 5.3% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -10.3%, 1 month -2.4%, 3 months -9.4%, 6 months -9.1%, this year so far +27.9%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 19.7x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 24.9x. Typical revenue growth: +21.4%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +49.7%. Typical operating margin: 6.7%. Typical net margin: 5.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 27.8%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +31.3%. How this business works: Builds and repairs power lines and makes the cables that carry electricity, including under the sea. Work is booked in large multi-year contracts, so the order backlog shows how much work is ahead.
- 2026-10-17: New nuclear projects moved forward on several fronts: a six-unit small reactor plant venture in Poland, US funding for molten salt reactors, and Mochovce 4 joining the grid in Slovakia. Why it matters: Together these show nuclear build-out progressing from policy money to physical plants. The read-across goes to companies that supply new reactor designs and the fuel that runs them.
- 02
Where the money went
Nearly every European utility is in an uptrend; the star builders mostly are not.
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Grid builders and turbine makers have risen most this year, but the typical grid builder fell 9.4% over three months.
- UK and Europe utilities (stage: Utilities), 7 stocks: NG.L, SSE.L, IBE.MC, ENEL.MI, EOAN.DE, RWE.DE, ENGI.PA. Combined market cap $559.7bn, 21.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days +3.6%, 1 month +3.2%, 3 months -3.1%, 6 months -2.1%, this year so far +14.1%. 6 of 7 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 86%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 12.4x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 18.4x. Typical revenue growth: -0.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +27.8%. Typical operating margin: 18.2%. Typical net margin: 11.9%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 10.9%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +11.4%. How this business works: Runs power networks and generation across the UK and Europe, under regulators that set what the networks may earn. Most are spending heavily on grids and renewables, paid for with borrowing, so interest rates and regulators' decisions matter most.
- Grid builders (stage: Grid), 4 stocks: PWR, MYRG, PRY.MI, NKT.CO. Combined market cap $136.2bn, 5.3% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -10.3%, 1 month -2.4%, 3 months -9.4%, 6 months -9.1%, this year so far +27.9%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 19.7x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 24.9x. Typical revenue growth: +21.4%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +49.7%. Typical operating margin: 6.7%. Typical net margin: 5.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 27.8%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +31.3%. How this business works: Builds and repairs power lines and makes the cables that carry electricity, including under the sea. Work is booked in large multi-year contracts, so the order backlog shows how much work is ahead.
- Turbines (stage: Equipment), 2 stocks: GEV, ENR.DE. Combined market cap $374.5bn, 14.6% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -7.7%, 1 month -1.0%, 3 months -10.8%, 6 months -14.8%, this year so far +26.9%. 1 of 2 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 50%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 29.0x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 35.0x. Typical revenue growth: +19.7%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +56.4%. Typical operating margin: 8.7%. Typical net margin: 14.7%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 26.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +38.2%. How this business works: Builds the gas turbines and grid equipment new power plants are built around. Orders are booked years ahead and factories are close to full, so the order book and its pricing show what is coming.
- Uranium (stage: Fuel), 5 stocks: CCJ, NXE, UEC, KAP.IL, LEU. Combined market cap $47.3bn, 1.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -7.4%, 1 month -10.8%, 3 months -4.9%, 6 months -34.0%, this year so far -10.9%. 0 of 5 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 0%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 30.6x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 53.7x. Typical revenue growth: -7.2%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: -51.6%. Typical operating margin: 1.6%. Typical net margin: 10.2%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 40.0%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +102.6%. How this business works: Mines uranium and turns it into reactor fuel. Utilities sign supply contracts years ahead, so the price agreed on those long contracts matters more than the day-to-day price, and new mines take a decade to open, which keeps supply slow to respond.
- Independent power (stage: Generation), 4 stocks: CEG, VST, TLN, NRG. Combined market cap $186.0bn, 7.2% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -6.1%, 1 month +6.5%, 3 months -3.4%, 6 months -7.4%, this year so far -14.1%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 13.1x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 26.4x. Typical revenue growth: +14.8%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: -46.8%. Typical operating margin: 10.4%. Typical net margin: 6.8%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 29.6%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +33.6%. How this business works: Owns power plants and sells their electricity at market prices or on long contracts, rather than earning a regulated return. Profits rise and fall with power prices, and the nuclear fleets among them are what data centres now sign long deals for.
- New nuclear (stage: Generation), 4 stocks: OKLO, SMR, NNE, BWXT. Combined market cap $20.8bn, 0.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -17.5%, 1 month -19.6%, 3 months -22.2%, 6 months -52.0%, this year so far -52.6%. 0 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 0%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 26.2x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 35.5x. Typical revenue growth: -40.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +14.1%. Typical operating margin: -6451.4%. Typical net margin: 0.0%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 78.8%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +135.7%. How this business works: Designs smaller reactors that have yet to produce power for customers. Most have little or no revenue, so their shares move on licence decisions, funding and signed customers, and can swing hard either way.
- Renewables (stage: Generation), 3 stocks: FSLR, VWS.CO, ORSTED.CO. Combined market cap $71.9bn, 2.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -2.9%, 1 month -7.9%, 3 months -14.1%, 6 months -9.3%, this year so far +5.1%. 1 of 3 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 33%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 13.6x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 16.9x. Typical revenue growth: +20.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +23.3%. Typical operating margin: 13.4%. Typical net margin: 5.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 25.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +32.3%. How this business works: Makes solar panels and wind turbines, or builds and runs wind and solar farms. Results depend on government support, interest rates and what materials cost, and offshore wind projects have been hit by delays and cancelled contracts.
- Electrical equipment (stage: Equipment), 4 stocks: ETN, HUBB, SU.PA, ABBN.SW. Combined market cap $503.0bn, 19.6% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -4.9%, 1 month -2.5%, 3 months -4.0%, 6 months -5.4%, this year so far +16.7%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 22.3x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 32.6x. Typical revenue growth: +14.8%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +3.6%. Typical operating margin: 17.6%. Typical net margin: 13.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 18.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +23.0%. How this business works: Makes the transformers, switchgear and wiring that move power from the grid into buildings and factories. Demand comes from data centres, factories and grid upgrades at once, and delivery times are long.
- US utilities (stage: Utilities), 9 stocks: NEE, SO, DUK, AEP, D, EXC, XEL, SRE, PCG. Combined market cap $670.8bn, 26.1% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days +3.4%, 1 month +3.0%, 3 months -5.1%, 6 months -4.4%, this year so far +5.7%. 5 of 9 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 56%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 16.8x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 20.9x. Typical revenue growth: +1.1%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +24.0%. Typical operating margin: 27.5%. Typical net margin: 15.3%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 12.9%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +12.6%. How this business works: Owns the power plants and lines that serve a region, and earns a return its state regulator sets. Earnings grow with the money it is allowed to invest, so rate decisions and data-centre demand drive growth, and high borrowing makes the shares sensitive to interest rates.
- Nearest distance below 52-week high, of 42 stocks with a figure: Iberdrola (IBE.MC, UK and Europe utilities) 1.8%; RWE (RWE.DE, UK and Europe utilities) 4.8%; SSE (SSE.L, UK and Europe utilities) 7.0%; Southern Company (SO, US utilities) 8.4%; Xcel Energy (XEL, US utilities) 9.4%.
- 03
What is priced in
European utilities are the cheapest part of the chain, while turbine makers are priced for growth.
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The typical European utility costs 12.4 times next year's expected profit, but sales are flat and regulators set what its networks may earn.
- UK and Europe utilities (stage: Utilities), 7 stocks: NG.L, SSE.L, IBE.MC, ENEL.MI, EOAN.DE, RWE.DE, ENGI.PA. Combined market cap $559.7bn, 21.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days +3.6%, 1 month +3.2%, 3 months -3.1%, 6 months -2.1%, this year so far +14.1%. 6 of 7 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 86%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 12.4x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 18.4x. Typical revenue growth: -0.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +27.8%. Typical operating margin: 18.2%. Typical net margin: 11.9%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 10.9%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +11.4%. How this business works: Runs power networks and generation across the UK and Europe, under regulators that set what the networks may earn. Most are spending heavily on grids and renewables, paid for with borrowing, so interest rates and regulators' decisions matter most.
- Turbines (stage: Equipment), 2 stocks: GEV, ENR.DE. Combined market cap $374.5bn, 14.6% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -7.7%, 1 month -1.0%, 3 months -10.8%, 6 months -14.8%, this year so far +26.9%. 1 of 2 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 50%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 29.0x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 35.0x. Typical revenue growth: +19.7%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +56.4%. Typical operating margin: 8.7%. Typical net margin: 14.7%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 26.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +38.2%. How this business works: Builds the gas turbines and grid equipment new power plants are built around. Orders are booked years ahead and factories are close to full, so the order book and its pricing show what is coming.
- Uranium (stage: Fuel), 5 stocks: CCJ, NXE, UEC, KAP.IL, LEU. Combined market cap $47.3bn, 1.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -7.4%, 1 month -10.8%, 3 months -4.9%, 6 months -34.0%, this year so far -10.9%. 0 of 5 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 0%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 30.6x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 53.7x. Typical revenue growth: -7.2%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: -51.6%. Typical operating margin: 1.6%. Typical net margin: 10.2%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 40.0%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +102.6%. How this business works: Mines uranium and turns it into reactor fuel. Utilities sign supply contracts years ahead, so the price agreed on those long contracts matters more than the day-to-day price, and new mines take a decade to open, which keeps supply slow to respond.
- Independent power (stage: Generation), 4 stocks: CEG, VST, TLN, NRG. Combined market cap $186.0bn, 7.2% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -6.1%, 1 month +6.5%, 3 months -3.4%, 6 months -7.4%, this year so far -14.1%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 13.1x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 26.4x. Typical revenue growth: +14.8%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: -46.8%. Typical operating margin: 10.4%. Typical net margin: 6.8%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 29.6%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +33.6%. How this business works: Owns power plants and sells their electricity at market prices or on long contracts, rather than earning a regulated return. Profits rise and fall with power prices, and the nuclear fleets among them are what data centres now sign long deals for.
- New nuclear (stage: Generation), 4 stocks: OKLO, SMR, NNE, BWXT. Combined market cap $20.8bn, 0.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -17.5%, 1 month -19.6%, 3 months -22.2%, 6 months -52.0%, this year so far -52.6%. 0 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 0%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 26.2x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 35.5x. Typical revenue growth: -40.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +14.1%. Typical operating margin: -6451.4%. Typical net margin: 0.0%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 78.8%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +135.7%. How this business works: Designs smaller reactors that have yet to produce power for customers. Most have little or no revenue, so their shares move on licence decisions, funding and signed customers, and can swing hard either way.
- Renewables (stage: Generation), 3 stocks: FSLR, VWS.CO, ORSTED.CO. Combined market cap $71.9bn, 2.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -2.9%, 1 month -7.9%, 3 months -14.1%, 6 months -9.3%, this year so far +5.1%. 1 of 3 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 33%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 13.6x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 16.9x. Typical revenue growth: +20.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +23.3%. Typical operating margin: 13.4%. Typical net margin: 5.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 25.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +32.3%. How this business works: Makes solar panels and wind turbines, or builds and runs wind and solar farms. Results depend on government support, interest rates and what materials cost, and offshore wind projects have been hit by delays and cancelled contracts.
- Electrical equipment (stage: Equipment), 4 stocks: ETN, HUBB, SU.PA, ABBN.SW. Combined market cap $503.0bn, 19.6% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -4.9%, 1 month -2.5%, 3 months -4.0%, 6 months -5.4%, this year so far +16.7%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 22.3x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 32.6x. Typical revenue growth: +14.8%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +3.6%. Typical operating margin: 17.6%. Typical net margin: 13.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 18.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +23.0%. How this business works: Makes the transformers, switchgear and wiring that move power from the grid into buildings and factories. Demand comes from data centres, factories and grid upgrades at once, and delivery times are long.
- Grid builders (stage: Grid), 4 stocks: PWR, MYRG, PRY.MI, NKT.CO. Combined market cap $136.2bn, 5.3% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -10.3%, 1 month -2.4%, 3 months -9.4%, 6 months -9.1%, this year so far +27.9%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 19.7x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 24.9x. Typical revenue growth: +21.4%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +49.7%. Typical operating margin: 6.7%. Typical net margin: 5.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 27.8%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +31.3%. How this business works: Builds and repairs power lines and makes the cables that carry electricity, including under the sea. Work is booked in large multi-year contracts, so the order backlog shows how much work is ahead.
- US utilities (stage: Utilities), 9 stocks: NEE, SO, DUK, AEP, D, EXC, XEL, SRE, PCG. Combined market cap $670.8bn, 26.1% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days +3.4%, 1 month +3.0%, 3 months -5.1%, 6 months -4.4%, this year so far +5.7%. 5 of 9 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 56%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 16.8x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 20.9x. Typical revenue growth: +1.1%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +24.0%. Typical operating margin: 27.5%. Typical net margin: 15.3%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 12.9%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +12.6%. How this business works: Owns the power plants and lines that serve a region, and earns a return its state regulator sets. Earnings grow with the money it is allowed to invest, so rate decisions and data-centre demand drive growth, and high borrowing makes the shares sensitive to interest rates.
- 04
What could break it
European utilities pay for their grid building with debt, so interest rates are the weak point.
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The typical European utility sits 10.9% below its high of the past year, nearer than any other part of the chain.
- UK and Europe utilities (stage: Utilities), 7 stocks: NG.L, SSE.L, IBE.MC, ENEL.MI, EOAN.DE, RWE.DE, ENGI.PA. Combined market cap $559.7bn, 21.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days +3.6%, 1 month +3.2%, 3 months -3.1%, 6 months -2.1%, this year so far +14.1%. 6 of 7 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 86%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 12.4x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 18.4x. Typical revenue growth: -0.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +27.8%. Typical operating margin: 18.2%. Typical net margin: 11.9%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 10.9%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +11.4%. How this business works: Runs power networks and generation across the UK and Europe, under regulators that set what the networks may earn. Most are spending heavily on grids and renewables, paid for with borrowing, so interest rates and regulators' decisions matter most.
- Uranium (stage: Fuel), 5 stocks: CCJ, NXE, UEC, KAP.IL, LEU. Combined market cap $47.3bn, 1.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -7.4%, 1 month -10.8%, 3 months -4.9%, 6 months -34.0%, this year so far -10.9%. 0 of 5 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 0%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 30.6x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 53.7x. Typical revenue growth: -7.2%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: -51.6%. Typical operating margin: 1.6%. Typical net margin: 10.2%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 40.0%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +102.6%. How this business works: Mines uranium and turns it into reactor fuel. Utilities sign supply contracts years ahead, so the price agreed on those long contracts matters more than the day-to-day price, and new mines take a decade to open, which keeps supply slow to respond.
- Independent power (stage: Generation), 4 stocks: CEG, VST, TLN, NRG. Combined market cap $186.0bn, 7.2% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -6.1%, 1 month +6.5%, 3 months -3.4%, 6 months -7.4%, this year so far -14.1%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 13.1x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 26.4x. Typical revenue growth: +14.8%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: -46.8%. Typical operating margin: 10.4%. Typical net margin: 6.8%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 29.6%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +33.6%. How this business works: Owns power plants and sells their electricity at market prices or on long contracts, rather than earning a regulated return. Profits rise and fall with power prices, and the nuclear fleets among them are what data centres now sign long deals for.
- New nuclear (stage: Generation), 4 stocks: OKLO, SMR, NNE, BWXT. Combined market cap $20.8bn, 0.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -17.5%, 1 month -19.6%, 3 months -22.2%, 6 months -52.0%, this year so far -52.6%. 0 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 0%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 26.2x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 35.5x. Typical revenue growth: -40.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +14.1%. Typical operating margin: -6451.4%. Typical net margin: 0.0%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 78.8%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +135.7%. How this business works: Designs smaller reactors that have yet to produce power for customers. Most have little or no revenue, so their shares move on licence decisions, funding and signed customers, and can swing hard either way.
- Renewables (stage: Generation), 3 stocks: FSLR, VWS.CO, ORSTED.CO. Combined market cap $71.9bn, 2.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -2.9%, 1 month -7.9%, 3 months -14.1%, 6 months -9.3%, this year so far +5.1%. 1 of 3 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 33%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 13.6x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 16.9x. Typical revenue growth: +20.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +23.3%. Typical operating margin: 13.4%. Typical net margin: 5.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 25.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +32.3%. How this business works: Makes solar panels and wind turbines, or builds and runs wind and solar farms. Results depend on government support, interest rates and what materials cost, and offshore wind projects have been hit by delays and cancelled contracts.
- Turbines (stage: Equipment), 2 stocks: GEV, ENR.DE. Combined market cap $374.5bn, 14.6% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -7.7%, 1 month -1.0%, 3 months -10.8%, 6 months -14.8%, this year so far +26.9%. 1 of 2 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 50%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 29.0x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 35.0x. Typical revenue growth: +19.7%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +56.4%. Typical operating margin: 8.7%. Typical net margin: 14.7%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 26.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +38.2%. How this business works: Builds the gas turbines and grid equipment new power plants are built around. Orders are booked years ahead and factories are close to full, so the order book and its pricing show what is coming.
- Electrical equipment (stage: Equipment), 4 stocks: ETN, HUBB, SU.PA, ABBN.SW. Combined market cap $503.0bn, 19.6% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -4.9%, 1 month -2.5%, 3 months -4.0%, 6 months -5.4%, this year so far +16.7%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 22.3x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 32.6x. Typical revenue growth: +14.8%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +3.6%. Typical operating margin: 17.6%. Typical net margin: 13.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 18.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +23.0%. How this business works: Makes the transformers, switchgear and wiring that move power from the grid into buildings and factories. Demand comes from data centres, factories and grid upgrades at once, and delivery times are long.
- Grid builders (stage: Grid), 4 stocks: PWR, MYRG, PRY.MI, NKT.CO. Combined market cap $136.2bn, 5.3% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -10.3%, 1 month -2.4%, 3 months -9.4%, 6 months -9.1%, this year so far +27.9%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 19.7x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 24.9x. Typical revenue growth: +21.4%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +49.7%. Typical operating margin: 6.7%. Typical net margin: 5.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 27.8%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +31.3%. How this business works: Builds and repairs power lines and makes the cables that carry electricity, including under the sea. Work is booked in large multi-year contracts, so the order backlog shows how much work is ahead.
- US utilities (stage: Utilities), 9 stocks: NEE, SO, DUK, AEP, D, EXC, XEL, SRE, PCG. Combined market cap $670.8bn, 26.1% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days +3.4%, 1 month +3.0%, 3 months -5.1%, 6 months -4.4%, this year so far +5.7%. 5 of 9 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 56%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 16.8x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 20.9x. Typical revenue growth: +1.1%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +24.0%. Typical operating margin: 27.5%. Typical net margin: 15.3%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 12.9%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +12.6%. How this business works: Owns the power plants and lines that serve a region, and earns a return its state regulator sets. Earnings grow with the money it is allowed to invest, so rate decisions and data-centre demand drive growth, and high borrowing makes the shares sensitive to interest rates.
- 05
What happens next
Iberdrola reports on 21 October, then European and British rate decisions test the borrowing side.
Show the evidenceHide the evidence
After Iberdrola's profit figures, watch the euro-area rate decision on 28 October, which sets what Europe's utilities pay to borrow.
- 2026-10-21: Iberdrola (IBE.MC, UK and Europe utilities) reports earnings.
- 2026-10-28: ECB monetary policy meeting. A euro-area rate decision. It sets what Europe's utilities and cable makers pay to borrow for the grid they are building. Source
- 2026-11-05: Bank of England rate decision (with Monetary Policy Report). A UK rate decision. It sets what National Grid and SSE pay to borrow for the network upgrades they have planned. Source
- UK and Europe utilities (stage: Utilities), 7 stocks: NG.L, SSE.L, IBE.MC, ENEL.MI, EOAN.DE, RWE.DE, ENGI.PA. Combined market cap $559.7bn, 21.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days +3.6%, 1 month +3.2%, 3 months -3.1%, 6 months -2.1%, this year so far +14.1%. 6 of 7 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 86%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 12.4x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 18.4x. Typical revenue growth: -0.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +27.8%. Typical operating margin: 18.2%. Typical net margin: 11.9%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 10.9%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +11.4%. How this business works: Runs power networks and generation across the UK and Europe, under regulators that set what the networks may earn. Most are spending heavily on grids and renewables, paid for with borrowing, so interest rates and regulators' decisions matter most.
Where it leads
UK and Europe utilities, and Grid builders
European utilities rose this week with most in an uptrend, while grid builders, this year's leaders, have slipped over three months.
Closest to a screener match · Monday's close, 19 Oct
UK and Europe utilities
- Not a match
EnelENEL.MI
One check short of a pick.
- Not a match
National GridNG.L
One check short of a pick.
Grid builders
- Not a match
Two checks short of a pick.
Want more information?ShowHide
Behind line 02 · Where the money went
Which parts of the chain are working?
Every segment's share of stocks in an uptrend, on one scale, then the stocks inside whichever one you pick.
Share of each segment above its 200-day EMA
Theme average 26%- UK and Europe utilitiesUtilities71%5/7+2.6%
- TurbinesEquipment50%1/2-8.3%
- RenewablesGeneration33%1/3-2.1%
- Independent powerGeneration25%1/4-8.3%
- Electrical equipmentEquipment25%1/4-5.8%
- Grid buildersGrid25%1/4-11.0%
- US utilitiesUtilities11%1/9+0.6%
- UraniumFuel0%0/5-6.6%
- New nuclearGeneration0%0/4-7.6%
UK and Europe utilities, Turbines and Renewables are at 33% or better. US utilities, Uranium and New nuclear are at 11% or less.
Inside a segment
Share Independent power in Power & Grid
Next earnings: TLN · 3 Nov
Behind line 05 · What happens next
What is coming?
Every earnings date and event for the theme's stocks in the next 28 days, so you can see when the stocks above report.
What's next
Next 28 days- 20 Octearnings
- 21 Octearnings
- 22 Octearnings
- 26–30 OctconferenceTheme-wide
Singapore International Energy Week 2026
Policymakers and industry leaders gather under the theme of connecting energy systems. Announcements on grids, renewables and power projects in Asia can bear on the theme's equipment and developer companies. Written by a model. - 27–28 OctmacroTheme-wideA US rate decision. Utilities borrow heavily to build plants and lines, so the rate path sets what building costs them, and their shares often trade like bonds.
- 27 Octearnings
- 28 Octpolicy
Autumn Budget 2026 (OBR Economic and fiscal outlook) (London)
The Chancellor sets UK tax and spending plans on this day, with the OBR forecast published alongside. Any change to energy levies, support schemes or public investment would bear on UK utilities, renewables developers and network builders. Written by a model. - 28–29 OctmacroTheme-wideA euro-area rate decision. It sets what Europe's utilities and cable makers pay to borrow for the grid they are building.
- 28 Octearnings
- 29 Octearnings
- FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.
- Live signalPRY.MIPrysmian S.p.A.
- Live signalPWRQuanta Services, Inc.
- Live signalXELXcel Energy Inc.
- 30 Octearnings
- 2–5 NovconferenceA large energy exhibition and conference spanning the energy value chain, hosted by ADNOC. Power developers and equipment makers can announce contracts and partnerships there. Written by a model.
- 2–4 NovconferenceNew nuclear · Uranium
CNA West 2026: New Nuclear Horizons (Calgary)
A Canadian nuclear conference focused on the role nuclear could play in Western Canada's energy future. It is a venue for reactor developers and suppliers to discuss new projects. Written by a model. - 2 Novearnings
- 3 Novpolicy
United States general election (midterms)
This is the next regular federal general election, which decides who sits in Congress. The result shapes the odds for energy tax credits, permitting and nuclear and power-market policy, and so moves US utilities, power producers and clean-energy names. Written by a model. - 3 Novearnings
- Live signalETNEaton Corp plc
- NXENexGen Energy Ltd.
- Live signalTLNTalen Energy Corp
- 4 Novearnings
- 5 NovmacroTheme-wide
Bank of England rate decision (with Monetary Policy Report)
A UK rate decision. It sets what National Grid and SSE pay to borrow for the network upgrades they have planned. - 5 Novearnings
- 6 Novearnings
- Live signalVSTVistra Corp.
- 8–10 NovconferenceUS utilities
61st EEI Financial Conference (Phoenix)
Electric company executives meet the financial community. Utilities often use it to update investors on spending plans and demand outlooks, which can move US utility shares. Written by a model. - 9–20 NovpolicyTheme-wide
COP31 – UN Climate Change Conference (Antalya)
Governments negotiate climate commitments and announce national energy plans. Headlines on renewables targets, nuclear and grid investment can move the whole power and grid theme. Written by a model. - 9 Novearnings
- 10–12 NovconferenceEurope's main energy-sector trade show, where utilities, grid operators and equipment makers show products and announce deals. It is a venue for grid-investment and product news from European names. Written by a model.
- 10 NovmacroTheme-wideUS inflation sets where rates go next, and with them what utilities pay to borrow for new plants and the grid.
- 10 Novearnings
- 11 Novearnings
- 12 Novearnings
- 15–18 NovconferenceNew nuclear · Uranium
2026 ANS Winter Conference & Expo (Phoenix)
The American Nuclear Society's meeting and expo, themed on a durable nuclear resurgence. Reactor developers and suppliers present there, so it can bring news for new-nuclear and uranium names. Written by a model.
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