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The week's story · Week of 19 Oct

The dull end of the power chain is holding up

Power & Grid Market Sentiment

Weak market

What is the Power & Grid theme?

  1. 01

    The surprise

    This week the typical utility rose while every other part of the power chain fell.

    Show the evidence

    New nuclear fell hardest, its typical stock down 17.5%, even as reactor projects moved forward in Poland and Slovakia.

    • US utilities (stage: Utilities), 9 stocks: NEE, SO, DUK, AEP, D, EXC, XEL, SRE, PCG. Combined market cap $670.8bn, 26.1% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days +3.4%, 1 month +3.0%, 3 months -5.1%, 6 months -4.4%, this year so far +5.7%. 5 of 9 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 56%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 16.8x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 20.9x. Typical revenue growth: +1.1%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +24.0%. Typical operating margin: 27.5%. Typical net margin: 15.3%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 12.9%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +12.6%. How this business works: Owns the power plants and lines that serve a region, and earns a return its state regulator sets. Earnings grow with the money it is allowed to invest, so rate decisions and data-centre demand drive growth, and high borrowing makes the shares sensitive to interest rates.
    • UK and Europe utilities (stage: Utilities), 7 stocks: NG.L, SSE.L, IBE.MC, ENEL.MI, EOAN.DE, RWE.DE, ENGI.PA. Combined market cap $559.7bn, 21.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days +3.6%, 1 month +3.2%, 3 months -3.1%, 6 months -2.1%, this year so far +14.1%. 6 of 7 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 86%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 12.4x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 18.4x. Typical revenue growth: -0.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +27.8%. Typical operating margin: 18.2%. Typical net margin: 11.9%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 10.9%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +11.4%. How this business works: Runs power networks and generation across the UK and Europe, under regulators that set what the networks may earn. Most are spending heavily on grids and renewables, paid for with borrowing, so interest rates and regulators' decisions matter most.
    • Uranium (stage: Fuel), 5 stocks: CCJ, NXE, UEC, KAP.IL, LEU. Combined market cap $47.3bn, 1.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -7.4%, 1 month -10.8%, 3 months -4.9%, 6 months -34.0%, this year so far -10.9%. 0 of 5 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 0%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 30.6x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 53.7x. Typical revenue growth: -7.2%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: -51.6%. Typical operating margin: 1.6%. Typical net margin: 10.2%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 40.0%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +102.6%. How this business works: Mines uranium and turns it into reactor fuel. Utilities sign supply contracts years ahead, so the price agreed on those long contracts matters more than the day-to-day price, and new mines take a decade to open, which keeps supply slow to respond.
    • Independent power (stage: Generation), 4 stocks: CEG, VST, TLN, NRG. Combined market cap $186.0bn, 7.2% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -6.1%, 1 month +6.5%, 3 months -3.4%, 6 months -7.4%, this year so far -14.1%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 13.1x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 26.4x. Typical revenue growth: +14.8%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: -46.8%. Typical operating margin: 10.4%. Typical net margin: 6.8%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 29.6%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +33.6%. How this business works: Owns power plants and sells their electricity at market prices or on long contracts, rather than earning a regulated return. Profits rise and fall with power prices, and the nuclear fleets among them are what data centres now sign long deals for.
    • New nuclear (stage: Generation), 4 stocks: OKLO, SMR, NNE, BWXT. Combined market cap $20.8bn, 0.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -17.5%, 1 month -19.6%, 3 months -22.2%, 6 months -52.0%, this year so far -52.6%. 0 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 0%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 26.2x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 35.5x. Typical revenue growth: -40.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +14.1%. Typical operating margin: -6451.4%. Typical net margin: 0.0%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 78.8%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +135.7%. How this business works: Designs smaller reactors that have yet to produce power for customers. Most have little or no revenue, so their shares move on licence decisions, funding and signed customers, and can swing hard either way.
    • Renewables (stage: Generation), 3 stocks: FSLR, VWS.CO, ORSTED.CO. Combined market cap $71.9bn, 2.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -2.9%, 1 month -7.9%, 3 months -14.1%, 6 months -9.3%, this year so far +5.1%. 1 of 3 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 33%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 13.6x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 16.9x. Typical revenue growth: +20.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +23.3%. Typical operating margin: 13.4%. Typical net margin: 5.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 25.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +32.3%. How this business works: Makes solar panels and wind turbines, or builds and runs wind and solar farms. Results depend on government support, interest rates and what materials cost, and offshore wind projects have been hit by delays and cancelled contracts.
    • Turbines (stage: Equipment), 2 stocks: GEV, ENR.DE. Combined market cap $374.5bn, 14.6% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -7.7%, 1 month -1.0%, 3 months -10.8%, 6 months -14.8%, this year so far +26.9%. 1 of 2 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 50%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 29.0x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 35.0x. Typical revenue growth: +19.7%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +56.4%. Typical operating margin: 8.7%. Typical net margin: 14.7%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 26.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +38.2%. How this business works: Builds the gas turbines and grid equipment new power plants are built around. Orders are booked years ahead and factories are close to full, so the order book and its pricing show what is coming.
    • Electrical equipment (stage: Equipment), 4 stocks: ETN, HUBB, SU.PA, ABBN.SW. Combined market cap $503.0bn, 19.6% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -4.9%, 1 month -2.5%, 3 months -4.0%, 6 months -5.4%, this year so far +16.7%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 22.3x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 32.6x. Typical revenue growth: +14.8%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +3.6%. Typical operating margin: 17.6%. Typical net margin: 13.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 18.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +23.0%. How this business works: Makes the transformers, switchgear and wiring that move power from the grid into buildings and factories. Demand comes from data centres, factories and grid upgrades at once, and delivery times are long.
    • Grid builders (stage: Grid), 4 stocks: PWR, MYRG, PRY.MI, NKT.CO. Combined market cap $136.2bn, 5.3% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -10.3%, 1 month -2.4%, 3 months -9.4%, 6 months -9.1%, this year so far +27.9%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 19.7x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 24.9x. Typical revenue growth: +21.4%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +49.7%. Typical operating margin: 6.7%. Typical net margin: 5.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 27.8%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +31.3%. How this business works: Builds and repairs power lines and makes the cables that carry electricity, including under the sea. Work is booked in large multi-year contracts, so the order backlog shows how much work is ahead.
    • 2026-10-17: New nuclear projects moved forward on several fronts: a six-unit small reactor plant venture in Poland, US funding for molten salt reactors, and Mochovce 4 joining the grid in Slovakia. Why it matters: Together these show nuclear build-out progressing from policy money to physical plants. The read-across goes to companies that supply new reactor designs and the fuel that runs them.
  2. 02

    Where the money went

    Nearly every European utility is in an uptrend; the star builders mostly are not.

    Show the evidence

    Grid builders and turbine makers have risen most this year, but the typical grid builder fell 9.4% over three months.

    • UK and Europe utilities (stage: Utilities), 7 stocks: NG.L, SSE.L, IBE.MC, ENEL.MI, EOAN.DE, RWE.DE, ENGI.PA. Combined market cap $559.7bn, 21.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days +3.6%, 1 month +3.2%, 3 months -3.1%, 6 months -2.1%, this year so far +14.1%. 6 of 7 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 86%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 12.4x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 18.4x. Typical revenue growth: -0.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +27.8%. Typical operating margin: 18.2%. Typical net margin: 11.9%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 10.9%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +11.4%. How this business works: Runs power networks and generation across the UK and Europe, under regulators that set what the networks may earn. Most are spending heavily on grids and renewables, paid for with borrowing, so interest rates and regulators' decisions matter most.
    • Grid builders (stage: Grid), 4 stocks: PWR, MYRG, PRY.MI, NKT.CO. Combined market cap $136.2bn, 5.3% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -10.3%, 1 month -2.4%, 3 months -9.4%, 6 months -9.1%, this year so far +27.9%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 19.7x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 24.9x. Typical revenue growth: +21.4%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +49.7%. Typical operating margin: 6.7%. Typical net margin: 5.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 27.8%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +31.3%. How this business works: Builds and repairs power lines and makes the cables that carry electricity, including under the sea. Work is booked in large multi-year contracts, so the order backlog shows how much work is ahead.
    • Turbines (stage: Equipment), 2 stocks: GEV, ENR.DE. Combined market cap $374.5bn, 14.6% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -7.7%, 1 month -1.0%, 3 months -10.8%, 6 months -14.8%, this year so far +26.9%. 1 of 2 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 50%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 29.0x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 35.0x. Typical revenue growth: +19.7%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +56.4%. Typical operating margin: 8.7%. Typical net margin: 14.7%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 26.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +38.2%. How this business works: Builds the gas turbines and grid equipment new power plants are built around. Orders are booked years ahead and factories are close to full, so the order book and its pricing show what is coming.
    • Uranium (stage: Fuel), 5 stocks: CCJ, NXE, UEC, KAP.IL, LEU. Combined market cap $47.3bn, 1.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -7.4%, 1 month -10.8%, 3 months -4.9%, 6 months -34.0%, this year so far -10.9%. 0 of 5 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 0%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 30.6x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 53.7x. Typical revenue growth: -7.2%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: -51.6%. Typical operating margin: 1.6%. Typical net margin: 10.2%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 40.0%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +102.6%. How this business works: Mines uranium and turns it into reactor fuel. Utilities sign supply contracts years ahead, so the price agreed on those long contracts matters more than the day-to-day price, and new mines take a decade to open, which keeps supply slow to respond.
    • Independent power (stage: Generation), 4 stocks: CEG, VST, TLN, NRG. Combined market cap $186.0bn, 7.2% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -6.1%, 1 month +6.5%, 3 months -3.4%, 6 months -7.4%, this year so far -14.1%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 13.1x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 26.4x. Typical revenue growth: +14.8%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: -46.8%. Typical operating margin: 10.4%. Typical net margin: 6.8%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 29.6%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +33.6%. How this business works: Owns power plants and sells their electricity at market prices or on long contracts, rather than earning a regulated return. Profits rise and fall with power prices, and the nuclear fleets among them are what data centres now sign long deals for.
    • New nuclear (stage: Generation), 4 stocks: OKLO, SMR, NNE, BWXT. Combined market cap $20.8bn, 0.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -17.5%, 1 month -19.6%, 3 months -22.2%, 6 months -52.0%, this year so far -52.6%. 0 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 0%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 26.2x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 35.5x. Typical revenue growth: -40.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +14.1%. Typical operating margin: -6451.4%. Typical net margin: 0.0%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 78.8%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +135.7%. How this business works: Designs smaller reactors that have yet to produce power for customers. Most have little or no revenue, so their shares move on licence decisions, funding and signed customers, and can swing hard either way.
    • Renewables (stage: Generation), 3 stocks: FSLR, VWS.CO, ORSTED.CO. Combined market cap $71.9bn, 2.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -2.9%, 1 month -7.9%, 3 months -14.1%, 6 months -9.3%, this year so far +5.1%. 1 of 3 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 33%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 13.6x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 16.9x. Typical revenue growth: +20.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +23.3%. Typical operating margin: 13.4%. Typical net margin: 5.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 25.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +32.3%. How this business works: Makes solar panels and wind turbines, or builds and runs wind and solar farms. Results depend on government support, interest rates and what materials cost, and offshore wind projects have been hit by delays and cancelled contracts.
    • Electrical equipment (stage: Equipment), 4 stocks: ETN, HUBB, SU.PA, ABBN.SW. Combined market cap $503.0bn, 19.6% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -4.9%, 1 month -2.5%, 3 months -4.0%, 6 months -5.4%, this year so far +16.7%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 22.3x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 32.6x. Typical revenue growth: +14.8%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +3.6%. Typical operating margin: 17.6%. Typical net margin: 13.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 18.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +23.0%. How this business works: Makes the transformers, switchgear and wiring that move power from the grid into buildings and factories. Demand comes from data centres, factories and grid upgrades at once, and delivery times are long.
    • US utilities (stage: Utilities), 9 stocks: NEE, SO, DUK, AEP, D, EXC, XEL, SRE, PCG. Combined market cap $670.8bn, 26.1% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days +3.4%, 1 month +3.0%, 3 months -5.1%, 6 months -4.4%, this year so far +5.7%. 5 of 9 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 56%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 16.8x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 20.9x. Typical revenue growth: +1.1%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +24.0%. Typical operating margin: 27.5%. Typical net margin: 15.3%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 12.9%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +12.6%. How this business works: Owns the power plants and lines that serve a region, and earns a return its state regulator sets. Earnings grow with the money it is allowed to invest, so rate decisions and data-centre demand drive growth, and high borrowing makes the shares sensitive to interest rates.
    • Nearest distance below 52-week high, of 42 stocks with a figure: Iberdrola (IBE.MC, UK and Europe utilities) 1.8%; RWE (RWE.DE, UK and Europe utilities) 4.8%; SSE (SSE.L, UK and Europe utilities) 7.0%; Southern Company (SO, US utilities) 8.4%; Xcel Energy (XEL, US utilities) 9.4%.
  3. 03

    What is priced in

    European utilities are the cheapest part of the chain, while turbine makers are priced for growth.

    Show the evidence

    The typical European utility costs 12.4 times next year's expected profit, but sales are flat and regulators set what its networks may earn.

    • UK and Europe utilities (stage: Utilities), 7 stocks: NG.L, SSE.L, IBE.MC, ENEL.MI, EOAN.DE, RWE.DE, ENGI.PA. Combined market cap $559.7bn, 21.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days +3.6%, 1 month +3.2%, 3 months -3.1%, 6 months -2.1%, this year so far +14.1%. 6 of 7 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 86%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 12.4x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 18.4x. Typical revenue growth: -0.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +27.8%. Typical operating margin: 18.2%. Typical net margin: 11.9%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 10.9%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +11.4%. How this business works: Runs power networks and generation across the UK and Europe, under regulators that set what the networks may earn. Most are spending heavily on grids and renewables, paid for with borrowing, so interest rates and regulators' decisions matter most.
    • Turbines (stage: Equipment), 2 stocks: GEV, ENR.DE. Combined market cap $374.5bn, 14.6% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -7.7%, 1 month -1.0%, 3 months -10.8%, 6 months -14.8%, this year so far +26.9%. 1 of 2 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 50%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 29.0x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 35.0x. Typical revenue growth: +19.7%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +56.4%. Typical operating margin: 8.7%. Typical net margin: 14.7%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 26.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +38.2%. How this business works: Builds the gas turbines and grid equipment new power plants are built around. Orders are booked years ahead and factories are close to full, so the order book and its pricing show what is coming.
    • Uranium (stage: Fuel), 5 stocks: CCJ, NXE, UEC, KAP.IL, LEU. Combined market cap $47.3bn, 1.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -7.4%, 1 month -10.8%, 3 months -4.9%, 6 months -34.0%, this year so far -10.9%. 0 of 5 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 0%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 30.6x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 53.7x. Typical revenue growth: -7.2%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: -51.6%. Typical operating margin: 1.6%. Typical net margin: 10.2%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 40.0%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +102.6%. How this business works: Mines uranium and turns it into reactor fuel. Utilities sign supply contracts years ahead, so the price agreed on those long contracts matters more than the day-to-day price, and new mines take a decade to open, which keeps supply slow to respond.
    • Independent power (stage: Generation), 4 stocks: CEG, VST, TLN, NRG. Combined market cap $186.0bn, 7.2% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -6.1%, 1 month +6.5%, 3 months -3.4%, 6 months -7.4%, this year so far -14.1%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 13.1x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 26.4x. Typical revenue growth: +14.8%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: -46.8%. Typical operating margin: 10.4%. Typical net margin: 6.8%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 29.6%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +33.6%. How this business works: Owns power plants and sells their electricity at market prices or on long contracts, rather than earning a regulated return. Profits rise and fall with power prices, and the nuclear fleets among them are what data centres now sign long deals for.
    • New nuclear (stage: Generation), 4 stocks: OKLO, SMR, NNE, BWXT. Combined market cap $20.8bn, 0.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -17.5%, 1 month -19.6%, 3 months -22.2%, 6 months -52.0%, this year so far -52.6%. 0 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 0%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 26.2x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 35.5x. Typical revenue growth: -40.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +14.1%. Typical operating margin: -6451.4%. Typical net margin: 0.0%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 78.8%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +135.7%. How this business works: Designs smaller reactors that have yet to produce power for customers. Most have little or no revenue, so their shares move on licence decisions, funding and signed customers, and can swing hard either way.
    • Renewables (stage: Generation), 3 stocks: FSLR, VWS.CO, ORSTED.CO. Combined market cap $71.9bn, 2.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -2.9%, 1 month -7.9%, 3 months -14.1%, 6 months -9.3%, this year so far +5.1%. 1 of 3 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 33%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 13.6x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 16.9x. Typical revenue growth: +20.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +23.3%. Typical operating margin: 13.4%. Typical net margin: 5.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 25.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +32.3%. How this business works: Makes solar panels and wind turbines, or builds and runs wind and solar farms. Results depend on government support, interest rates and what materials cost, and offshore wind projects have been hit by delays and cancelled contracts.
    • Electrical equipment (stage: Equipment), 4 stocks: ETN, HUBB, SU.PA, ABBN.SW. Combined market cap $503.0bn, 19.6% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -4.9%, 1 month -2.5%, 3 months -4.0%, 6 months -5.4%, this year so far +16.7%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 22.3x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 32.6x. Typical revenue growth: +14.8%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +3.6%. Typical operating margin: 17.6%. Typical net margin: 13.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 18.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +23.0%. How this business works: Makes the transformers, switchgear and wiring that move power from the grid into buildings and factories. Demand comes from data centres, factories and grid upgrades at once, and delivery times are long.
    • Grid builders (stage: Grid), 4 stocks: PWR, MYRG, PRY.MI, NKT.CO. Combined market cap $136.2bn, 5.3% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -10.3%, 1 month -2.4%, 3 months -9.4%, 6 months -9.1%, this year so far +27.9%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 19.7x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 24.9x. Typical revenue growth: +21.4%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +49.7%. Typical operating margin: 6.7%. Typical net margin: 5.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 27.8%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +31.3%. How this business works: Builds and repairs power lines and makes the cables that carry electricity, including under the sea. Work is booked in large multi-year contracts, so the order backlog shows how much work is ahead.
    • US utilities (stage: Utilities), 9 stocks: NEE, SO, DUK, AEP, D, EXC, XEL, SRE, PCG. Combined market cap $670.8bn, 26.1% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days +3.4%, 1 month +3.0%, 3 months -5.1%, 6 months -4.4%, this year so far +5.7%. 5 of 9 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 56%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 16.8x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 20.9x. Typical revenue growth: +1.1%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +24.0%. Typical operating margin: 27.5%. Typical net margin: 15.3%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 12.9%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +12.6%. How this business works: Owns the power plants and lines that serve a region, and earns a return its state regulator sets. Earnings grow with the money it is allowed to invest, so rate decisions and data-centre demand drive growth, and high borrowing makes the shares sensitive to interest rates.
  4. 04

    What could break it

    European utilities pay for their grid building with debt, so interest rates are the weak point.

    Show the evidence

    The typical European utility sits 10.9% below its high of the past year, nearer than any other part of the chain.

    • UK and Europe utilities (stage: Utilities), 7 stocks: NG.L, SSE.L, IBE.MC, ENEL.MI, EOAN.DE, RWE.DE, ENGI.PA. Combined market cap $559.7bn, 21.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days +3.6%, 1 month +3.2%, 3 months -3.1%, 6 months -2.1%, this year so far +14.1%. 6 of 7 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 86%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 12.4x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 18.4x. Typical revenue growth: -0.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +27.8%. Typical operating margin: 18.2%. Typical net margin: 11.9%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 10.9%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +11.4%. How this business works: Runs power networks and generation across the UK and Europe, under regulators that set what the networks may earn. Most are spending heavily on grids and renewables, paid for with borrowing, so interest rates and regulators' decisions matter most.
    • Uranium (stage: Fuel), 5 stocks: CCJ, NXE, UEC, KAP.IL, LEU. Combined market cap $47.3bn, 1.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -7.4%, 1 month -10.8%, 3 months -4.9%, 6 months -34.0%, this year so far -10.9%. 0 of 5 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 0%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 30.6x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 53.7x. Typical revenue growth: -7.2%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: -51.6%. Typical operating margin: 1.6%. Typical net margin: 10.2%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 40.0%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +102.6%. How this business works: Mines uranium and turns it into reactor fuel. Utilities sign supply contracts years ahead, so the price agreed on those long contracts matters more than the day-to-day price, and new mines take a decade to open, which keeps supply slow to respond.
    • Independent power (stage: Generation), 4 stocks: CEG, VST, TLN, NRG. Combined market cap $186.0bn, 7.2% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -6.1%, 1 month +6.5%, 3 months -3.4%, 6 months -7.4%, this year so far -14.1%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 13.1x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 26.4x. Typical revenue growth: +14.8%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: -46.8%. Typical operating margin: 10.4%. Typical net margin: 6.8%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 29.6%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +33.6%. How this business works: Owns power plants and sells their electricity at market prices or on long contracts, rather than earning a regulated return. Profits rise and fall with power prices, and the nuclear fleets among them are what data centres now sign long deals for.
    • New nuclear (stage: Generation), 4 stocks: OKLO, SMR, NNE, BWXT. Combined market cap $20.8bn, 0.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -17.5%, 1 month -19.6%, 3 months -22.2%, 6 months -52.0%, this year so far -52.6%. 0 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 0%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 26.2x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 35.5x. Typical revenue growth: -40.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +14.1%. Typical operating margin: -6451.4%. Typical net margin: 0.0%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 78.8%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +135.7%. How this business works: Designs smaller reactors that have yet to produce power for customers. Most have little or no revenue, so their shares move on licence decisions, funding and signed customers, and can swing hard either way.
    • Renewables (stage: Generation), 3 stocks: FSLR, VWS.CO, ORSTED.CO. Combined market cap $71.9bn, 2.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -2.9%, 1 month -7.9%, 3 months -14.1%, 6 months -9.3%, this year so far +5.1%. 1 of 3 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 33%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 13.6x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 16.9x. Typical revenue growth: +20.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +23.3%. Typical operating margin: 13.4%. Typical net margin: 5.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 25.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +32.3%. How this business works: Makes solar panels and wind turbines, or builds and runs wind and solar farms. Results depend on government support, interest rates and what materials cost, and offshore wind projects have been hit by delays and cancelled contracts.
    • Turbines (stage: Equipment), 2 stocks: GEV, ENR.DE. Combined market cap $374.5bn, 14.6% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -7.7%, 1 month -1.0%, 3 months -10.8%, 6 months -14.8%, this year so far +26.9%. 1 of 2 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 50%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 29.0x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 35.0x. Typical revenue growth: +19.7%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +56.4%. Typical operating margin: 8.7%. Typical net margin: 14.7%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 26.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +38.2%. How this business works: Builds the gas turbines and grid equipment new power plants are built around. Orders are booked years ahead and factories are close to full, so the order book and its pricing show what is coming.
    • Electrical equipment (stage: Equipment), 4 stocks: ETN, HUBB, SU.PA, ABBN.SW. Combined market cap $503.0bn, 19.6% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -4.9%, 1 month -2.5%, 3 months -4.0%, 6 months -5.4%, this year so far +16.7%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 22.3x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 32.6x. Typical revenue growth: +14.8%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +3.6%. Typical operating margin: 17.6%. Typical net margin: 13.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 18.3%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +23.0%. How this business works: Makes the transformers, switchgear and wiring that move power from the grid into buildings and factories. Demand comes from data centres, factories and grid upgrades at once, and delivery times are long.
    • Grid builders (stage: Grid), 4 stocks: PWR, MYRG, PRY.MI, NKT.CO. Combined market cap $136.2bn, 5.3% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days -10.3%, 1 month -2.4%, 3 months -9.4%, 6 months -9.1%, this year so far +27.9%. 1 of 4 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 25%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 19.7x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 24.9x. Typical revenue growth: +21.4%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +49.7%. Typical operating margin: 6.7%. Typical net margin: 5.4%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 27.8%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +31.3%. How this business works: Builds and repairs power lines and makes the cables that carry electricity, including under the sea. Work is booked in large multi-year contracts, so the order backlog shows how much work is ahead.
    • US utilities (stage: Utilities), 9 stocks: NEE, SO, DUK, AEP, D, EXC, XEL, SRE, PCG. Combined market cap $670.8bn, 26.1% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days +3.4%, 1 month +3.0%, 3 months -5.1%, 6 months -4.4%, this year so far +5.7%. 5 of 9 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 56%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 16.8x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 20.9x. Typical revenue growth: +1.1%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +24.0%. Typical operating margin: 27.5%. Typical net margin: 15.3%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 12.9%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +12.6%. How this business works: Owns the power plants and lines that serve a region, and earns a return its state regulator sets. Earnings grow with the money it is allowed to invest, so rate decisions and data-centre demand drive growth, and high borrowing makes the shares sensitive to interest rates.
  5. 05

    What happens next

    Iberdrola reports on 21 October, then European and British rate decisions test the borrowing side.

    Show the evidence

    After Iberdrola's profit figures, watch the euro-area rate decision on 28 October, which sets what Europe's utilities pay to borrow.

    • 2026-10-21: Iberdrola (IBE.MC, UK and Europe utilities) reports earnings.
    • 2026-10-28: ECB monetary policy meeting. A euro-area rate decision. It sets what Europe's utilities and cable makers pay to borrow for the grid they are building. Source
    • 2026-11-05: Bank of England rate decision (with Monetary Policy Report). A UK rate decision. It sets what National Grid and SSE pay to borrow for the network upgrades they have planned. Source
    • UK and Europe utilities (stage: Utilities), 7 stocks: NG.L, SSE.L, IBE.MC, ENEL.MI, EOAN.DE, RWE.DE, ENGI.PA. Combined market cap $559.7bn, 21.8% of the theme. Price change of the typical stock (median): 7 days +3.6%, 1 month +3.2%, 3 months -3.1%, 6 months -2.1%, this year so far +14.1%. 6 of 7 are in an uptrend (above their 200-day line), 86%. Typical price against next year's expected earnings: 12.4x. Typical price against the last year's earnings: 18.4x. Typical revenue growth: -0.5%. Typical earnings-per-share growth: +27.8%. Typical operating margin: 18.2%. Typical net margin: 11.9%. Typical distance below 52-week high: 10.9%. Typical gap to analysts' average target: +11.4%. How this business works: Runs power networks and generation across the UK and Europe, under regulators that set what the networks may earn. Most are spending heavily on grids and renewables, paid for with borrowing, so interest rates and regulators' decisions matter most.

Where it leads

UK and Europe utilities, and Grid builders

European utilities rose this week with most in an uptrend, while grid builders, this year's leaders, have slipped over three months.

Closest to a screener match · Monday's close, 19 Oct

UK and Europe utilities

  • EnelENEL.MI

    One check short of a pick.

    Not a match
  • National GridNG.L

    One check short of a pick.

    Not a match

Grid builders

Want more information?Show
02

Behind line 02 · Where the money went

Which parts of the chain are working?

Every segment's share of stocks in an uptrend, on one scale, then the stocks inside whichever one you pick.

Share of each segment above its 200-day EMA

Theme average 26%
  • UK and Europe utilitiesUtilities71%5/7+2.6%
  • TurbinesEquipment50%1/2-8.3%
  • RenewablesGeneration33%1/3-2.1%
  • Independent powerGeneration25%1/4-8.3%
  • Electrical equipmentEquipment25%1/4-5.8%
  • Grid buildersGrid25%1/4-11.0%
  • US utilitiesUtilities11%1/9+0.6%
  • UraniumFuel0%0/5-6.6%
  • New nuclearGeneration0%0/4-7.6%

UK and Europe utilities, Turbines and Renewables are at 33% or better. US utilities, Uranium and New nuclear are at 11% or less.

Inside a segment

Share Independent power in Power & Grid
Weak trending up
1W-8.3%1M+4.9%1/4 trending up (-1 on the week)
  • CEGConstellation Energy-10.4%
  • VSTVistra-5.3%
  • NRGNRG Energy-6.6%
  • TLNTalen Energy-7.5%

Next earnings: TLN · 3 Nov

05

Behind line 05 · What happens next

What is coming?

Every earnings date and event for the theme's stocks in the next 28 days, so you can see when the stocks above report.

What's next

Next 28 days

Looking beyond power? The stock screener covers nearly 600 stocks across every sector the same way.

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